It’s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe …
Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what’s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.
Well… another busy week is behind us. So with that in mind, let’s get this party started!
Fire is the test of gold; adversity, of strong men.
– Lucius Seneca
Credits and Debits
Credit: Did you see this? This week the IRS unveiled the higher federal tax brackets for 2026 to adjust for inflation, with the top rate of 37% applying to individuals with taxable income above $640,600 and married couples filing jointly earning $768,700 or more. The standard deduction will also increase – from $16,100 for single taxpayers all the way to $32,200 for married couples filing jointly. Even better, the long-term capital gains tax rate for annual investment earnings under $49,450 for singles and $98,900 for married couples is zero. (Psst. Please don’t spoil the party and tell that to Congress.)
Debit: In other news, a new study by Wells Fargo Securities has determined that the insured losses due to this year’s Southern California wildfires is $30 billion. Within that total, about 85% of losses are expected to come from homeowners’ insurance policies, while 13.5% are commercial property and 1.5% are personal auto losses. The trouble is, very few building permits in the burn zones are being issued thanks to local and state government bureaucrats who are strangling these poor homeowners with miles of red tape. You can bet the system wouldn’t be so gummed up if this was 1930…
Debit: Speaking of building permits, they have been falling steadily since late 2021 – this is a historically-reliable recession signal. Maybe that’s why Google searches for “help with mortgage” have surpassed the level seen during the 2008 housing crisis. Uh oh. Then again, there are plenty more recession signals out there – for those who are looking…
Debit: Of course, it’s not just homeowners with mortgages who are struggling to stay afloat financially – many renters find themselves drowning in a sea of red ink too. In fact, late payments by apartment renters have been steadily rising since April 2024. The good news is the stock market is still toying with new all-time highs almost every week! Then again, so is this:
h/t: Mike Maloney
Debit: The commercial real estate (CRE) market is on even shakier ground, with the national office vacancy rate surging to an unprecedented 21% at the end of June, according to the most recent available data. However, in many major big cities the vacancy rate is far worse. For example, in Charlotte and New York City, it’s 23%, while in San Francisco it’s 28% and Denver is a staggering 37%. That being said, CRE isn’t the only thing that seems to be crumbling before our eyes…
h/t: @spillthememes
Debit: The good news is that there is a new financial technology firm out there that lets people with terrible credit scores tap into the equity in their depreciating used cars at a 30% interest rate, even if it’s not paid off, in which case the entire auto loan is transferred. After signing up, the company – known as Yendo – issues the borrower a credit card which incurs an additional 3% fee if used at an ATM to pull cash out. The good news is it also rewards its suckers – er, customers – with 1.5% cashback on all purchases!
Debit: Speaking of paying the bills, US tax revenue has increased more than six-fold since 1980; that’s not a revenue problem. The trouble is that America’s debt has gone up 38 times over the same period. Try running your household like that. On second thought, if earning income by printing counterfeit currency was actually legal for us private citizens, I’d probably definitely use that strategy too. After all, it sure beats earning a living by the sweat of your brow – especially on days like this:
Debit: Fed Chair Jerome Powell was asked this week about his thoughts about the sharply rising price of gold in light of the fact that former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan used to view the price of gold as an indicator of market perception of inflation risk. Not surprisingly, Powell refused to respond. That’s because bankers will never admit publicly that they’ve been running an immoral monetary scam since 1971 – and that scam is finally being exposed by the yellow metal. As for silver, for those who haven’t noticed, there’s a supply squeeze that’s happening right now…
Credit: Macro analyst Matthew Piepenberg warned last week that the current global debt-based monetary system’s “endgame is in sight. It’s deliberate policy theft; the engineered demise of the US dollar (USD) as unsustainable debt hits a breaking point. This is the currency’s ‘Stalingrad moment,’ where the credit balloon pops and your savings “melt like an ice cube.” If only there was a proven safe haven where investors could find shelter from the storm. Oh, wait…
Debit: Indeed, the illusion of prosperity is finally crumbling. We know this because despite the USD being down more than 10% and declining economic data, stocks keep rising. At the same time, gold and silver are both up more than 50% this year alone, while the Fed is cutting rates into inflation. This isn’t prosperity; nor is it an economic boom. It’s a flight from fiat; a currency crisis unfolding in slow motion. More to the point: We’re witnessing the death throes of a system, priced in paper and powered by the monetary hocus-pocus of USDs being conjured out of thin air to “pay” for real things produced by real people…
h/t: @jameshenryand
Credit: We’ll close this week’s round-up with this factoid: Did you know that since 2019 there has been a 92% correlation between bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100? It’s true – which further bolsters many analysts claims, including mine – that bitcoin is not a safe haven, but a highly speculative risk asset pretending to be one. Sorry, crypto bros – but the facts don’t lie. Only precious metals can save your hard-earned nest egg from a devastating currency crisis. Even the CEO of JP Morgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, understands that. Well… at least he does now. Got gold (and/or silver)?
By the Numbers
Here are the current 10 highest mortgage delinquency rates across 260 metropolitan areas and all 50 states:
5.3% Yuma, AZ
5.4% Charleston, WV
5.5% Dover, DE
5.8% Shreveport, LA
6.2% Beaumont, TX
6.3% Lake Charles, LA
6.5% Baton Rouge, LA
6.7% McAllen, TX
7.1% Florence, SC
10.3% Laredo, TX
Source: Construction Coverage
The Question of the Week
How many different homes have you owned in your lifetime?
- More than 4
- 4
- 3
- 2
- 1
- Zero
Last Week’s Poll Result
How many hours do you sleep on average? 