It’s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe …
Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what’s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.
I’ve got another busy weekend ahead of me, so let’s get right to this week’s commentary …
The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.
– Bertrand Russell
The stupid neither forgive nor forget; the naive forgive and forget; the wise forgive but do not forget.
– Thomas Szasz
Credits and Debits
Debit: Did you see this? A new study finds that only 46% of adult Americans have enough emergency savings to cover three months of expenses. Additionally, 30% of people have some emergency savings but not enough to cover three months’ expenses, and 24% have no emergency savings at all. In the meantime …
Debit: By the way, the same study also found that 33% of adult Americans have more credit card debt than emergency savings, down from 36% in 2024 and 2023. That percentage is still higher than in 2022, when 22% of Americans had more credit card debt than emergency savings. Anybody else wonder if housing expenses have anything to do with this?
Credit: In other news, Raising Cane’s has quietly surpassed KFC in annual sales, becoming the third-largest chicken chain in the country. The accomplishment follows a recent winning streak for the 28-year-old company, which has spent the last decade expanding outside its home bases in Louisiana and Texas. Its restaurant footprint has grown to more than 900 locations, up from just over 500 in 2020. About 100 more are expected to open this year, with another 200 or so in the development pipeline. That’s going to require a lot of employees. Then again, Raising Cane’s isn’t the only employer who is hiring…
Credit: On Wall Street, the three major stock indices are finished higher for the week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both hitting all-time intraday highs on Friday before pulling back a bit. The Dow also finished up for the week, but just short of its last all-time high. Some economists are saying the current stock markets rally is primarily in reaction to the federal government’s continuing debasement of the US dollar (USD), rather than a booming economy. Okay … and maybe this, too:
Debit: In other news, with the $9 trillion in debt that is due this year, the federal government is planning to refinance the $9 trillion as short-term debt in an attempt to avoid having to pay for 10 years of debt at a higher rate. Needless to say, this is extremely reckless due to its potential to increase interest rate volatility, and strain government cash flow. Although probably not as reckless as this …
Gary Larson – The Far Side
Debit: Not coincidentally, the Fed announced changes last week to something called the commercial banks’ supplementary leverage ratio (SLR). According to the Fed, the goal is rather mundane; that is, “ensure there is always enough liquidity in the markets.” Then again, we all know central bankers like to lie – especially by omission. After all, it’s the best way to keep most people completely confused. Kind of like this lady …
Credit: Thankfully, market analyst Franklin Sanders explains the Fed’s intentions in plain English for us: “The bottom line is that the change will allow banks to buy more US Treasury (UST) securities. The nightmare that keeps US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s awake is that the Treasury might at some time find no buyers for its debt. The bond market must be kept well fed and alive or else the USD’s whole game goes kaput in bankruptcy and hyperinflation. Thus, the banks must be encouraged to buy bonds.” Not that it’s really going to matter in the long run, as even the Fed admits …
h/t: @WallStreetMav
Debit: Professional traders are shorting the US dollar at levels not seen in 20 years, while central banks buying gold at record rates signal a deeper loss of confidence in fiat currency. As for those of you who still claim that nobody can really explain the central banks’ buying spree, well, don’t make us send you to the chalkboard …
h/t: Alan Hibbard via GoldSilver.com
Credit: Meanwhile, Bessent recently claimed that stablecoins could “reinforce dollar supremacy.” His argument centers on the so-called “Genius Act” circulating around the US Congress which would force stablecoin issuers to back their tokens with US Treasuries and other “safe” dollar-denominated assets. But as macro analyst Mike Maloney points out, “It’s like two guys skydiving without parachutes, worried that they’re somehow volatile relative to each other.” Uh-huh. It’s all a scam perpetrated by an army of shills and grifters – and we’re not just talking about stablecoins either. Behold, Exhibit A-1:
Debit: And while the Genius Act purports to remedy the monetary issues that will ultimately result from the UST’s waning demand among the world’s nations, there is a fundamental problem: Stablecoins pegged to the USD are only as stable as the USD itself. That’s not good news when the USD without an anchor to gold, has consistently lost significant purchasing power over time. In fact, the only legitimate stable coins proven to maintain their purchasing power over millennia are the ones containing physical gold and silver. Unfortunately, the general public is completely clueless regarding that basic economic law …
Credit: In a world where currencies are racing to the bottom, gold isn’t just an investment – it’s wealth insurance for your hard-earned nest egg. Gold is the premier safe haven … no matter what others might claim.
By the Numbers
For those of you who ever wanted to enter speakeasy, but didn’t know the password, you’re in luck. We recently came across the top ten speakeasy passwords. The odds are one of these will probably work:
10 “Mrs. Doubtfire”
9 “Please let me in.”
8 “867-5309”
7 “This is Neo – I need an exit.”
6 “Open sesame.”
5 “123456”
4 “Your mother was a hamster, and your father smelt of elderberries.”
3 “Eureka!”
2 “Swordfish”
1 “Voila!”
Source: Klugness
The Question of the Week
Which of these pets have you owned during your lifetime?
- Bird
- Cat
- Dog
- Fish
- Reptile
- None of these
Last Week’s Poll Results
How many different addresses have you lived at during your lifetime?
- More than 12: 68%
- 9 to 12: 12%
- 6 to 8: 8%
- 3 to 5: 7%
- Less than 3: 5%
More than 2000 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week’s question and it turns out that slightly more than 4 in 5 of you have called at least nine residences “home” during your lifetime. According to the US Census Bureau, on average, Americans put roots down somewhere between 11 and 12 different locations during their lifetime. I’ve called seven different addresses home over the years.
If you have a question you’d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at Len@LenPenzo.com and be sure to put “Question of the Week” in the subject line.
Useless News: Great News
Four people were living in a four-plex apartment building. On the first floor lived a boxer; on the second, a professional football player; on the third, a blind man; and on the fourth, a beautiful woman named Leah.
One particularly gorgeous day, Leah was in the shower when she heard the doorbell ring. So she yelled, “Who is it?” The person answered, “It’s Carson, the boxer!” So Leah exited the shower with a towel and opened the door.
“Great news, Leah!” said Carson, “I won this morning’s fight!”
Leah replied, “Well, congrats to you, Carson! See you tomorrow!” And with that she shut the door